AFL Round 21 Tips 2027
for each of 9 games from Mon 2 Aug, our selection appears with its win chance and margin, alongside the 5 public models already included.
- Opening bounce
- Mon 2 Aug12:00pm AEST, MCG
- Games
- 9No byes this round
- Streak choice
- Adelaide89% to win, our safest tip
- Games with split predictions
- 2where the models do not agree
Tips: Round 21
our win chanceeach public modelThe Squiggle aggregate.
Games that decide the round
Our win chance is closest to a coin toss in these 3 games. Treat these as the ones that decide the round, so tip them with care.
- Collingwood v CarltonCarlton: 53%, by 3.
- Hawthorn v SydneyHawthorn: 56%, margin 5.
- Gold Coast v FremantleFremantle: 56%, by 5.
Streak choice
Adelaide
Richmond is the opponent for our round favorite, which has an 89% chance of winning. In a streak game, use this pick because a single miss resets the count.
All games and models
| Game | Kick-off | Our tip | Win chance | Elo Predicts! | s10 | Squiggle | Stattraction | Wheelo Ratings | Aggregate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collingwood v Carlton | Mon 2 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Carlton | 53.0% | COL 73% | CAR 52% | COL 53% | CAR 57% | COL 52% | COL 55% |
| Essendon v Western Bulldogs | Mon 2 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Western Bulldogs | 78.5% | WBD 86% | WBD 77% | WBD 85% | WBD 78% | WBD 76% | WBD 81% |
| Geelong v Port Adelaide | Mon 2 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Geelong | 85.6% | GEE 85% | GEE 85% | GEE 89% | GEE 84% | GEE 85% | GEE 86% |
| Gold Coast v Fremantle | Mon 2 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Fremantle | 55.9% | GCS 64% | FRE 59% | FRE 59% | FRE 69% | GCS 51% | FRE 53% |
| GWS v North Melbourne | Mon 2 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | GWS | 69.5% | GWS 92% | GWS 71% | GWS 67% | GWS 71% | GWS 71% | GWS 75% |
| Hawthorn v Sydney | Mon 2 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Hawthorn | 55.8% | HAW 76% | HAW 53% | HAW 68% | HAW 55% | HAW 52% | HAW 63% |
| St Kilda v Brisbane | Mon 2 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Brisbane | 57.4% | BRI 82% | BRI 62% | BRI 58% | BRI 62% | BRI 61% | BRI 66% |
| Adelaide v Richmond | Mon 2 Aug, 12:30pm AEST | Adelaide | 88.8% | ADE 95% | ADE 85% | ADE 86% | ADE 86% | ADE 85% | ADE 88% |
| West Coast v Melbourne | Mon 2 Aug, 2:00pm AEST | Melbourne | 67.3% | MEL 70% | MEL 74% | MEL 67% | MEL 78% | MEL 70% | MEL 71% |