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Greater Western Sydney vs Fremantle Tips

Round 9 2027, Sat 15 May, 1:15pm AEST at Sydney Showground: we tip Fremantle by 3 with a 54% win chance.

Our tip
Fremantleby 3 points
Win chance
54%GWS 46.1%, Fremantle 53.9%
Predicted score
87–91GWS first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip GWS

Every model on this game

GWSFRE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle53.9%3.2 pts
Elo Predicts!GWS68.0%10.0 pts
s10Fremantle60.8%9.9 pts
SquiggleFremantle59.3%9.0 pts
StattractionFremantle68.6%17.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle53.0%2.5 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle53.2%4.7 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Fremantle

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

GWS rate −0.2 overall (11th) and Fremantle +12.8 (4th), which leaves Fremantle 3 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
GWS+3.1−3.3−0.2LWLWL
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
17no draws
GWS wins
8
Fremantle wins
9
Average margin
43.5points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2016Round 22Sydney ShowgroundGWS 129, Fremantle 37GWS
2017Round 19Sydney ShowgroundGWS 98, Fremantle 86GWS
2018Round 4UNSW Canberra OvalGWS 82, Fremantle 51GWS
2019Round 5Manuka OvalGWS 82, Fremantle 106Fremantle
2020Round 14Optus StadiumFremantle 53, GWS 91GWS
2021Round 2Optus StadiumFremantle 87, GWS 56Fremantle
2022Round 4Optus StadiumFremantle 88, GWS 54Fremantle
2022Round 23Manuka OvalGWS 69, Fremantle 89Fremantle
2023Round 14Sydney ShowgroundGWS 106, Fremantle 36GWS
2024Round 23Sydney ShowgroundGWS 101, Fremantle 92GWS
2025Round 10Sydney ShowgroundGWS 61, Fremantle 95Fremantle
2026Round 17Manuka OvalGWS 109, Fremantle 88GWS
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 9 Aug2:00pm AEST · Optus StadiumFremantle77%FREGWS23%GWSFremantle by 24Models 4–1

More on this game

All Round 9 tips Greater Western Sydney fixture Fremantle fixture