AFL Round 22 Tips 2027
from Mon 9 Aug, we cover 9 games with our tip, win chance and margin, alongside the 5 public models already included.
- Opening bounce
- Mon 9 Aug12:00pm AEST, Gabba
- Games
- 9No byes this round
- Streak selection
- Hawthorn83% to win, our safest tip
- Split matches
- 3where the models do not agree
Tips for Round 22
our win chanceeach public modelAggregate from Squiggle.
Matches that decide the round
In 3 games, our win chance is closest to a coin toss. Tip each game carefully; a round gets won or lost here.
- North Melbourne v Gold CoastNorth Melbourne 54%, ahead by 4.
- Collingwood v AdelaideCollingwood 57%, ahead by 6.
- Melbourne v Western BulldogsMelbourne 59%, ahead by 8.
Streak selection
Hawthorn
Our pick for the round's most likely winner is 83% against Richmond. Use this in a streak game; one miss resets the count.
All games, all models
| Game | Kick-off | Our tip | Win chance | Elo Predicts! | s10 | Squiggle | Stattraction | Wheelo Ratings | Aggregate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane v Geelong | Mon 9 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Brisbane | 62.8% | BRI 68% | BRI 59% | BRI 52% | BRI 56% | BRI 62% | BRI 60% |
| Collingwood v Adelaide | Mon 9 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Collingwood | 56.7% | COL 54% | COL 50% | COL 66% | ADE 53% | COL 53% | COL 55% |
| Melbourne v Western Bulldogs | Mon 9 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Melbourne | 59.0% | WBD 81% | MEL 61% | WBD 56% | MEL 58% | MEL 63% | WBD 54% |
| North Melbourne v Gold Coast | Mon 9 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | North Melbourne | 54.3% | GCS 81% | GCS 54% | GCS 54% | GCS 56% | GCS 52% | GCS 61% |
| Richmond v Hawthorn | Mon 9 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Hawthorn | 83.1% | HAW 95% | HAW 85% | HAW 93% | HAW 87% | HAW 84% | HAW 90% |
| St Kilda v West Coast | Mon 9 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | St Kilda | 80.6% | STK 89% | STK 76% | STK 81% | STK 76% | STK 76% | STK 81% |
| Sydney v Carlton | Mon 9 Aug, 12:00pm AEST | Sydney | 72.4% | SYD 64% | SYD 71% | SYD 70% | SYD 69% | SYD 73% | SYD 69% |
| Port Adelaide v Essendon | Mon 9 Aug, 12:30pm AEST | Port Adelaide | 75.1% | PTA 75% | PTA 72% | PTA 78% | PTA 72% | PTA 71% | PTA 74% |
| Fremantle v GWS | Mon 9 Aug, 2:00pm AEST | Fremantle | 76.6% | GWS 51% | FRE 80% | FRE 78% | FRE 82% | FRE 78% | FRE 72% |