afl-tips.com

Greater Western Sydney vs North Melbourne Tips

We tip Greater Western Sydney for Round 21 2027 at Sydney Showground, Mon 2 Aug, 12: 00pm AEST. Their win chance is 70%, with a predicted margin of 17.

What we tip
GWSby 17 points
Win chance
70% for GWS. GWS 69.5%, North Melbourne 30.5%
Score prediction
101–84GWS first
Models backing us
5 of 5every public model agrees

All models for this match

GWSNTH

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)GWS69.5%16.8 pts
Elo Predicts!GWS92.4%52.0 pts
s10GWS70.7%18.5 pts
SquiggleGWS66.8%16.0 pts
StattractionGWS70.8%19.5 pts
Wheelo RatingsGWS70.5%17.6 pts
Squiggle aggregateGWS75.1%26.3 pts
Each win chance applies to the club that its source predicts will win. Public model tips come from the Squiggle API; Squiggle's aggregate gives the average for all models. Results are graded after the siren.

Why we pick GWS

Our ratings score each club's attack and defence using points against an average side. Home ground and travel are added for this game.

Overall, GWS is 11th at −0.2, while North Melbourne is 14th at −7.3. That puts GWS 17 points better on the day.

The model achieved 68.3% correct tips across more than 2,476 games between 2015 and 2026. Its average prediction margin error was 27.0 points. How it works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
GWS+3.1−3.3−0.2LWLWL
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
Points per game against an average side at the start of 2027. Form covers the last five games of 2026, with the latest shown on the right.

Head-to-head record since 2012

Meetings
161 drawn
Wins for GWS
8
Wins for North Melbourne
7
Average point margin
44.8points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2015Round 12Sydney ShowgroundGWS 61, North Melbourne 117North Melbourne
2016Round 23Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 63, GWS 100GWS
2017Round 3Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 67, GWS 109GWS
2018Round 9Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 112, GWS 69North Melbourne
2019Round 13Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 68, GWS 91GWS
2020Round 2Sydney ShowgroundGWS 60, North Melbourne 80North Melbourne
2021Round 13Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 94, GWS 94Draw
2022Round 13Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 53, GWS 102GWS
2023Round 13Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 75, GWS 103GWS
2024Round 1Sydney ShowgroundGWS 121, North Melbourne 82GWS
2025Round 22Manuka OvalGWS 133, North Melbourne 79GWS
2026Round 7Manuka OvalGWS 105, North Melbourne 98GWS
Most recent meetings appear first. Match results come from the Squiggle API.

More about this match

All Round 21 tips Greater Western Sydney fixture North Melbourne fixture