afl-tips.com

Greater Western Sydney vs Western Bulldogs Tips

We predict Greater Western Sydney will win by 5 in Round 6 2027. Our win chance is 56%. The game takes place Sun 25 Apr, 12: 15pm AEST at Manuka Oval.

Our selection
GWSby 5 points
Win chance
56%; Western Bulldogs 43.6%, GWS 56.4%
Score forecast
92–86GWS first
Models backing us
3 of 52 tip Western Bulldogs

Each model for this match

GWSWBD

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)GWS56.4%5.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Western Bulldogs55.1%1.0 pts
s10GWS52.3%1.9 pts
SquiggleWestern Bulldogs50.0%0.1 pts
StattractionGWS53.2%2.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsGWS51.4%1.1 pts
Squiggle aggregateWestern Bulldogs50.2%0.7 pts
Each source's win chance applies to the club it tips. Public model tips are sourced from the Squiggle API. Squiggle's aggregate averages all models. Results are graded after the siren.

Our reason for backing GWS

For each club, our ratings measure attack and defence by points against an average side, then add the home ground and travel for this game.

GWS has an overall rate of −0.2 (11th), while Western Bulldogs has +1.8 (9th), leaving GWS 5 points better on the day.

Across games from 2015 to 2026, the model tipped 68.3% correctly over 2,476 games. Average margin error was 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
GWS+3.1−3.3−0.2LWLWL
Western Bulldogs+0.1+1.7+1.8LDWWL
At the start of 2027, these are points per game against an average side. Form covers the last five games of 2026, with the latest on the right.

Meetings since 2012

Meetings
23no draws
Wins for GWS
7
Wins for Western Bulldogs
16
Margin on average
33.9points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2019Finals Week 1Sydney ShowgroundGWS 113, Western Bulldogs 55GWS
2020Round 3Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 57, GWS 33Western Bulldogs
2021Round 6Manuka OvalGWS 65, Western Bulldogs 104Western Bulldogs
2022Round 14Sydney ShowgroundGWS 105, Western Bulldogs 125Western Bulldogs
2022Round 22Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 62, GWS 57Western Bulldogs
2023Round 8Manuka OvalGWS 71, Western Bulldogs 86Western Bulldogs
2023Round 20Eureka StadiumWestern Bulldogs 73, GWS 78GWS
2024Round 10Sydney ShowgroundGWS 43, Western Bulldogs 70Western Bulldogs
2024Round 24Eureka StadiumWestern Bulldogs 98, GWS 61Western Bulldogs
2025Round 7Manuka OvalGWS 81, Western Bulldogs 113Western Bulldogs
2025Round 21Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 132, GWS 44Western Bulldogs
2026Round 1Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 134, GWS 53Western Bulldogs
Most recent meetings appear first. The Squiggle API supplies these results.

In 2027, they meet again.

Mon 26 Jul12:00pm AEST · Eureka StadiumWestern Bulldogs60%WBDGWS41%GWSWestern Bulldogs by 8Models 5–0

More game details

All Round 6 tips Greater Western Sydney fixture Western Bulldogs fixture