afl-tips.com

North Melbourne vs Carlton Tips

Round 2 2027, Fri 26 Mar, 3:15pm AEDT at Marvel Stadium: we tip Carlton by 11 with a 64% win chance.

Our tip
Carltonby 11 points
Win chance
64%North Melbourne 36.5%, Carlton 63.5%
Predicted score
83–94North Melbourne first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

NTHCAR

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Carlton63.5%11.4 pts
Elo Predicts!Carlton74.8%21.0 pts
s10Carlton65.9%14.2 pts
SquiggleCarlton61.1%10.7 pts
StattractionCarlton70.1%18.8 pts
Wheelo RatingsCarlton61.7%9.7 pts
Squiggle aggregateCarlton66.9%15.1 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Carlton

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

North Melbourne rate −7.3 overall (14th) and Carlton +5.4 (7th), which leaves Carlton 11 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
Carlton+2.2+3.1+5.4WDWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
17no draws
North Melbourne wins
9
Carlton wins
8
Average margin
39.2points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 10Marvel StadiumCarlton 96, North Melbourne 113North Melbourne
2018Round 4Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 116, Carlton 30North Melbourne
2019Round 7Marvel StadiumCarlton 62, North Melbourne 120North Melbourne
2020Round 8GabbaNorth Melbourne 57, Carlton 64Carlton
2021Round 19Marvel StadiumCarlton 77, North Melbourne 116North Melbourne
2022Round 7Marvel StadiumCarlton 114, North Melbourne 64Carlton
2023Round 4Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 84, Carlton 107Carlton
2024Round 3Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 81, Carlton 137Carlton
2024Round 19Marvel StadiumCarlton 107, North Melbourne 88Carlton
2025Round 6Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 71, Carlton 153Carlton
2025Round 15MCGCarlton 73, North Melbourne 84North Melbourne
2026Round 4Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 96, Carlton 86North Melbourne
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Sat 3 Jul7:35pm AEST · Marvel StadiumCarlton64%CARNTH37%North MelbourneCarlton by 11Models 5–0

More on this game

All Round 2 tips North Melbourne fixture Carlton fixture