afl-tips.com

North Melbourne vs Melbourne Tips

Round 23 2027, Mon 16 Aug, 12:00pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip Melbourne by 9 with a 61% win chance.

Our tip
Melbourneby 9 points
Win chance
61%North Melbourne 39.3%, Melbourne 60.7%
Predicted score
89–98North Melbourne first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

NTHMEL

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Melbourne60.7%9.0 pts
Elo Predicts!Melbourne71.5%17.0 pts
s10Melbourne68.4%16.7 pts
SquiggleMelbourne60.4%9.0 pts
StattractionMelbourne71.9%20.8 pts
Wheelo RatingsMelbourne64.9%12.5 pts
Squiggle aggregateMelbourne67.2%14.8 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Melbourne

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

North Melbourne rate −7.3 overall (14th) and Melbourne +5.0 (8th), which leaves Melbourne 9 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
Melbourne+7.3−2.3+5.0WWWLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
19no draws
North Melbourne wins
10
Melbourne wins
9
Average margin
37.7points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 19Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 76, Melbourne 72North Melbourne
2018Round 3MCGMelbourne 123, North Melbourne 86Melbourne
2019Round 23Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 88, Melbourne 83North Melbourne
2020Round 11Adelaide OvalMelbourne 92, North Melbourne 35Melbourne
2021Round 7Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 73, Melbourne 103Melbourne
2022Round 10Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 53, Melbourne 100Melbourne
2023Round 7MCGMelbourne 139, North Melbourne 49Melbourne
2023Round 21Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 71, Melbourne 103Melbourne
2024Round 15MCGMelbourne 70, North Melbourne 67Melbourne
2025Round 2Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 125, Melbourne 66North Melbourne
2025Round 18MCGMelbourne 119, North Melbourne 83Melbourne
2026Round 19Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 76, Melbourne 92Melbourne
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 23 tips North Melbourne fixture Melbourne fixture