afl-tips.com

North Melbourne vs West Coast Tips

Round 11 2027, Sun 30 May, 3:15pm AEST at Hands Oval: we tip North Melbourne by 8 with a 59% win chance.

Our tip
North Melbourneby 8 points
Win chance
59%North Melbourne 59.3%, West Coast 40.7%
Predicted score
92–85North Melbourne first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

NTHWCE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)North Melbourne59.3%7.8 pts
Elo Predicts!North Melbourne55.0%14.0 pts
s10North Melbourne52.1%1.6 pts
SquiggleNorth Melbourne62.1%11.7 pts
StattractionNorth Melbourne50.8%0.3 pts
Wheelo RatingsNorth Melbourne53.5%2.9 pts
Squiggle aggregateNorth Melbourne55.4%7.2 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip North Melbourne

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

North Melbourne rate −7.3 overall (14th) and West Coast −20.8 (16th), which leaves North Melbourne 8 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
West Coast−10.8−10.0−20.8LLLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
21no draws
North Melbourne wins
9
West Coast wins
12
Average margin
21.6points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 19Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 81, West Coast 41North Melbourne
2019Round 19Optus StadiumWest Coast 121, North Melbourne 72West Coast
2020Round 18People First StadiumNorth Melbourne 34, West Coast 49West Coast
2021Round 17Optus StadiumWest Coast 60, North Melbourne 70North Melbourne
2022Round 2Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 74, West Coast 59North Melbourne
2023Round 1Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 87, West Coast 82North Melbourne
2023Round 20Optus StadiumWest Coast 72, North Melbourne 67West Coast
2024Round 13Optus StadiumWest Coast 65, North Melbourne 74North Melbourne
2024Round 22Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 97, West Coast 102West Coast
2025Round 13Hands OvalNorth Melbourne 62, West Coast 52North Melbourne
2026Round 2Optus StadiumWest Coast 111, North Melbourne 94West Coast
2026Round 14Optus StadiumNorth Melbourne 74, West Coast 73North Melbourne
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.