afl-tips.com

Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Tips

Our Adelaide pick for Round 8 2027 predicts an 18-point win and a 71% chance of victory. Play is Fri 7 May, 8: 10pm AEST at Adelaide Oval.

The tip we choose
Adelaideby 18 points
Win chance
71%, Port Adelaide 29.3% vs Adelaide 70.7%
Score we predict
80–98Port Adelaide first
Models backing our tip
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model for this game

PTAADE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Adelaide70.7%18.0 pts
Elo Predicts!Adelaide74.0%16.0 pts
s10Adelaide68.0%15.8 pts
SquiggleAdelaide62.7%12.2 pts
StattractionAdelaide69.0%17.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsAdelaide66.9%14.3 pts
Squiggle aggregateAdelaide68.1%14.9 pts
Each source's win chance belongs to the club it tips. Public model tips come from the Squiggle API, and the aggregate is Squiggle's average across all models. Results are graded after the siren.

Why Adelaide is our tip

We score every club on attack and defence for our ratings. Each score uses points against an average side, then adds home ground and travel for this game.

Overall, Port Adelaide rate −11.2 (15th) while Adelaide sit at +6.8 (6th), which puts Adelaide 18 points ahead in this match.

Across 2,476 games between 2015 and 2026, the model was right 68.3% of the time, and its average margin error came to 27.0 points. How it works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Port Adelaide−6.2−5.0−11.2LLLLW
Adelaide+6.2+0.5+6.8WLWWL
Against an average side, points per game at the start of 2027. Form covers the last five games of 2026, with the latest on the right.

Since 2012, head to head

Meetings
29no draws
Wins for Port Adelaide
12
Wins for Adelaide
17
Mean margin
31.1points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2021Round 8Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 87, Adelaide 38Port Adelaide
2021Round 21Adelaide OvalAdelaide 51, Port Adelaide 55Port Adelaide
2022Round 3Adelaide OvalAdelaide 96, Port Adelaide 92Adelaide
2022Round 23Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 111, Adelaide 55Port Adelaide
2023Round 3Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 86, Adelaide 117Adelaide
2023Round 20Adelaide OvalAdelaide 112, Port Adelaide 65Adelaide
2024Round 8Adelaide OvalAdelaide 78, Port Adelaide 48Adelaide
2024Round 23Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 80, Adelaide 58Port Adelaide
2025Round 9Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 84, Adelaide 89Adelaide
2025Round 20Adelaide OvalAdelaide 133, Port Adelaide 35Adelaide
2026Round 8Adelaide OvalAdelaide 76, Port Adelaide 75Adelaide
2026Round 16Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 97, Adelaide 71Port Adelaide
The latest meetings come first. These results come from the Squiggle API.

Another meeting in 2027

Mon 19 Jul12:30pm AEST · Adelaide OvalAdelaide71%ADEPTA29%Port AdelaideAdelaide by 18Models 5–0

More about this game

All Round 8 tips Port Adelaide fixture Adelaide fixture