afl-tips.com

Port Adelaide vs Collingwood Tips

Round 11 2027, Sat 29 May, 7:35pm AEST at Adelaide Oval: we tip Collingwood by 1 with a 52% win chance.

Our tip
Collingwoodby 1 points
Win chance
52%Port Adelaide 48.3%, Collingwood 51.7%
Predicted score
88–89Port Adelaide first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

PTACOL

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Collingwood51.7%1.4 pts
Elo Predicts!Collingwood69.4%17.0 pts
s10Collingwood58.7%7.4 pts
SquiggleCollingwood59.4%9.2 pts
StattractionCollingwood58.2%7.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsCollingwood59.2%7.6 pts
Squiggle aggregateCollingwood61.6%10.2 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Collingwood

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Port Adelaide rate −11.2 overall (15th) and Collingwood +0.9 (10th), which leaves Collingwood 1 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Port Adelaide−6.2−5.0−11.2LLLLW
Collingwood+3.0−2.1+0.9LWDLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
19no draws
Port Adelaide wins
9
Collingwood wins
10
Average margin
31.1points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 21Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 98, Collingwood 71Port Adelaide
2018Round 22MCGCollingwood 115, Port Adelaide 64Collingwood
2019Round 7Marvel StadiumCollingwood 108, Port Adelaide 69Collingwood
2020Round 18GabbaCollingwood 45, Port Adelaide 61Port Adelaide
2021Round 10MCGCollingwood 58, Port Adelaide 59Port Adelaide
2021Round 19Marvel StadiumPort Adelaide 97, Collingwood 69Port Adelaide
2022Round 20MCGCollingwood 88, Port Adelaide 82Collingwood
2023Round 2MCGCollingwood 135, Port Adelaide 64Collingwood
2023Round 19Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 83, Collingwood 85Collingwood
2024Round 6MCGCollingwood 123, Port Adelaide 81Collingwood
2025Round 1MCGCollingwood 136, Port Adelaide 45Collingwood
2026Round 15MCGCollingwood 78, Port Adelaide 52Collingwood
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 11 tips Port Adelaide fixture Collingwood fixture