afl-tips.com

Port Adelaide vs Fremantle Tips

We tip Fremantle by 13 when they play at Adelaide Oval in Round 18 2027. The game starts Mon 12 Jul, 12: 30pm AEST, with Fremantle holding a 66% win chance.

What we pick
Fremantleby 13 points
Win chance
Fremantle 65.6%, Port Adelaide 34.4% (66%)
Score we expect
79–92Port Adelaide first
Models backing us
4 of 51 tip Port Adelaide

All the models for this game

PTAFRE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Fremantle65.6%13.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Port Adelaide51.2%1.0 pts
s10Fremantle71.8%20.2 pts
SquiggleFremantle67.8%17.0 pts
StattractionFremantle76.9%26.3 pts
Wheelo RatingsFremantle66.8%14.1 pts
Squiggle aggregateFremantle65.1%14.1 pts
Each source's win chance applies to the club that source tips. Public model tips come from the Squiggle API, and Squiggle's aggregate is the average of all models. Tip grades are settled after the siren.

Why our tip is Fremantle

Our ratings score attack and defence for each club. These scores use points against an average side. Home ground and travel also count for this game.

Overall, Port Adelaide sits at −11.2 (15th), while Fremantle is +12.8 (4th). On the day, that puts Fremantle 13 points ahead.

Across 2,476 games between 2015 and 2026, the model was right 68.3% of the time. Its average margin error was 27.0 points. How it works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Port Adelaide−6.2−5.0−11.2LLLLW
Fremantle+5.7+7.1+12.8LLWWL
At the start of 2027, these figures show points per game against an average side. The 2026 form covers the five most recent games, with the latest result on the right.

Head to head record since 2012

Meetings
23no draws
Wins for Port Adelaide
11
Wins for Fremantle
12
The average margin
30.4points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 17Optus StadiumFremantle 59, Port Adelaide 50Fremantle
2019Round 13Optus StadiumFremantle 100, Port Adelaide 79Fremantle
2019Round 23Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 110, Fremantle 67Port Adelaide
2020Round 3People First StadiumFremantle 41, Port Adelaide 70Port Adelaide
2021Round 11Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 115, Fremantle 69Port Adelaide
2022Round 16Optus StadiumFremantle 99, Port Adelaide 91Fremantle
2023Round 23Optus StadiumFremantle 58, Port Adelaide 74Port Adelaide
2024Round 5Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 66, Fremantle 63Port Adelaide
2024Round 24Optus StadiumFremantle 67, Port Adelaide 87Port Adelaide
2025Round 11Optus StadiumFremantle 100, Port Adelaide 51Fremantle
2025Round 22Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 86, Fremantle 92Fremantle
2026Round 19Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 75, Fremantle 103Fremantle
Most recent meetings are listed first. Results come from the Squiggle API.

More about this game

All Round 18 tips Port Adelaide fixture Fremantle fixture