afl-tips.com

Port Adelaide vs Melbourne Tips

Round 2 2027, Sat 27 Mar, 8:10pm AEDT at Adelaide Oval: we tip Melbourne by 6 with a 57% win chance.

Our tip
Melbourneby 6 points
Win chance
57%Port Adelaide 43.1%, Melbourne 56.9%
Predicted score
88–94Port Adelaide first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip Port Adelaide

Every model on this game

PTAMEL

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Melbourne56.9%5.7 pts
Elo Predicts!Port Adelaide60.4%2.0 pts
s10Melbourne65.8%13.9 pts
SquiggleMelbourne53.7%3.8 pts
StattractionMelbourne67.9%16.4 pts
Wheelo RatingsMelbourne63.7%11.4 pts
Squiggle aggregateMelbourne56.2%7.4 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Melbourne

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Port Adelaide rate −11.2 overall (15th) and Melbourne +5.0 (8th), which leaves Melbourne 6 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Port Adelaide−6.2−5.0−11.2LLLLW
Melbourne+7.3−2.3+5.0WWWLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
19no draws
Port Adelaide wins
12
Melbourne wins
7
Average margin
30.4points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 18MCGMelbourne 88, Port Adelaide 65Melbourne
2018Round 14Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 75, Melbourne 65Port Adelaide
2019Round 1MCGMelbourne 61, Port Adelaide 87Port Adelaide
2020Round 9GabbaMelbourne 32, Port Adelaide 83Port Adelaide
2021Round 17Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 55, Melbourne 86Melbourne
2022Round 4Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 36, Melbourne 68Melbourne
2022Round 18Traeger ParkMelbourne 83, Port Adelaide 69Melbourne
2023Round 10Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 80, Melbourne 76Port Adelaide
2024Round 3Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 89, Melbourne 96Melbourne
2024Round 22MCGMelbourne 51, Port Adelaide 53Port Adelaide
2025Round 14Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 93, Melbourne 68Port Adelaide
2026Round 23Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 56, Melbourne 132Melbourne
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 5 Jul12:00pm AEST · Marvel StadiumMelbourne75%MELPTA25%Port AdelaideMelbourne by 22Models 4–1

More on this game

All Round 2 tips Port Adelaide fixture Melbourne fixture