Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs Tips
Round 4 2027, Sun 11 Apr, 7:15pm AEST at Adelaide Oval: we tip Western Bulldogs by 2 with a 53% win chance.
- Our tip
- Western Bulldogsby 2 points
- Win chance
- 53%Port Adelaide 47.3%, Western Bulldogs 52.7%
- Predicted score
- 84–86Port Adelaide first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Western Bulldogs | 52.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Western Bulldogs | 66.5% | 15.0 pts |
| s10 | Western Bulldogs | 56.8% | 5.8 pts |
| Squiggle | Western Bulldogs | 59.1% | 8.9 pts |
| Stattraction | Western Bulldogs | 57.3% | 6.4 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Western Bulldogs | 56.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Western Bulldogs | 59.8% | 8.9 pts |
Why we tip Western Bulldogs
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
Port Adelaide rate −11.2 overall (15th) and Western Bulldogs +1.8 (9th), which leaves Western Bulldogs 2 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Adelaide | −6.2 | −5.0 | −11.2 | LLLLW |
| Western Bulldogs | +0.1 | +1.7 | +1.8 | LDWWL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 20no draws
- Port Adelaide wins
- 11
- Western Bulldogs wins
- 9
- Average margin
- 33.2points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Round 19 | Mars Stadium | Western Bulldogs 34, Port Adelaide 78 | Port Adelaide |
| 2019 | Round 15 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 41, Western Bulldogs 66 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2020 | Round 10 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 55, Western Bulldogs 42 | Port Adelaide |
| 2021 | Round 9 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 77, Western Bulldogs 96 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2021 | Round 23 | Marvel Stadium | Western Bulldogs 64, Port Adelaide 66 | Port Adelaide |
| 2021 | Preliminary Finals | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 45, Western Bulldogs 116 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2022 | Round 8 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 86, Western Bulldogs 69 | Port Adelaide |
| 2023 | Round 5 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 70, Western Bulldogs 56 | Port Adelaide |
| 2023 | Round 13 | Marvel Stadium | Western Bulldogs 85, Port Adelaide 107 | Port Adelaide |
| 2024 | Round 17 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 102, Western Bulldogs 54 | Port Adelaide |
| 2025 | Round 8 | Eureka Stadium | Western Bulldogs 131, Port Adelaide 41 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2026 | Round 9 | Adelaide Oval | Port Adelaide 72, Western Bulldogs 74 | Western Bulldogs |
All Round 4 tips Port Adelaide fixture Western Bulldogs fixture