afl-tips.com

Richmond vs Adelaide Tips

At MCG on Sat 5 Jun, 1: 35pm AEST for Round 12 2027, we tip Adelaide by 17 and rate their win chance at 70%.

Our pick
Adelaideby 17 points
Win chance
70% Richmond 30.0% and Adelaide 70.0%
Score we predict
79–96Richmond first
Models backing our tip
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model for this match

RICADE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Adelaide70.0%17.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Adelaide89.0%52.0 pts
s10Adelaide77.0%25.5 pts
SquiggleAdelaide70.4%19.6 pts
StattractionAdelaide79.3%29.1 pts
Wheelo RatingsAdelaide74.8%21.8 pts
Squiggle aggregateAdelaide78.4%30.6 pts
Each source's win chance belongs to the club that source picks. Public model tips come via the Squiggle API, while Squiggle's aggregate averages every model. Results are graded after the siren.

Why we're tipping Adelaide

Our ratings score every club on attack and defence, based on points against an average side. For this game, we also factor in the home ground and travel.

Richmond's overall rating is −21.8 (17th), while Adelaide's is +6.8 (6th), leaving Adelaide 17 points better on the day.

This model delivered correct tips in 68.3% of games over 2,476 matches from 2015 to 2026. Its average margin error was 27.0 points. How it works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Richmond−13.1−8.7−21.8LWLLL
Adelaide+6.2+0.5+6.8WLWWL
At the start of 2027, each figure gives points per game when measured against an average side. Form covers the five most recent games of 2026, with the newest result on the right.

Head to head results since 2012

Meetings
18no draws
Wins for Richmond
8
Wins for Adelaide
10
Mean margin
34.7points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Grand FinalMCGAdelaide 60, Richmond 108Richmond
2018Round 2Adelaide OvalAdelaide 118, Richmond 82Adelaide
2018Round 16MCGRichmond 103, Adelaide 56Richmond
2019Round 13Adelaide OvalAdelaide 101, Richmond 68Adelaide
2020Round 18Adelaide OvalAdelaide 33, Richmond 77Richmond
2021Round 11Sydney ShowgroundRichmond 111, Adelaide 83Richmond
2022Round 5Adelaide OvalAdelaide 101, Richmond 82Adelaide
2023Round 2Adelaide OvalAdelaide 76, Richmond 108Richmond
2024Round 13Adelaide OvalAdelaide 71, Richmond 79Richmond
2025Round 16MCGRichmond 54, Adelaide 122Adelaide
2026Round 9MCGRichmond 61, Adelaide 98Adelaide
2026Round 22Adelaide OvalAdelaide 63, Richmond 54Adelaide
The most recent meetings come first. Results come from the Squiggle API.

They play again in 2027

Mon 2 Aug12:30pm AEST · Adelaide OvalAdelaide89%ADERIC11%RichmondAdelaide by 40Models 5–0

More about this match

All Round 12 tips Richmond fixture Adelaide fixture