Richmond vs North Melbourne Tips
For Round 5 2027, Sat 17 Apr, 4: 15pm AEST at MCG, our tip is North Melbourne by 10 points with a 61% win chance.
- Our selection
- North Melbourneby 10 points
- Win chance
- 61%, Richmond 38.6% and North Melbourne 61.4%
- Score prediction
- 82–92Richmond first
- Models included here
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model for this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | North Melbourne | 61.4% | 9.5 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | North Melbourne | 53.6% | 13.0 pts |
| s10 | North Melbourne | 64.0% | 12.1 pts |
| Squiggle | North Melbourne | 66.7% | 15.9 pts |
| Stattraction | North Melbourne | 65.6% | 13.9 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | North Melbourne | 62.4% | 10.3 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | North Melbourne | 62.1% | 13.3 pts |
Why we choose North Melbourne
Our ratings score each club's attack and defence using points against an average side. Home ground and travel are also included for this game.
Richmond's overall rate is −21.8 (17th), while North Melbourne stands at −7.3 (14th). That puts North Melbourne 10 points better for this game.
This model tipped 68.3% correctly over 2,476 games played from 2015 to 2026. Its average margin error was 27.0 points. How it works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | −13.1 | −8.7 | −21.8 | LWLLL |
| North Melbourne | −1.1 | −6.2 | −7.3 | LLWLL |
Head-to-head results since 2012
- Meetings
- 19no draws
- Wins for Richmond
- 6
- Wins for North Melbourne
- 13
- Mean margin
- 32.8points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Round 11 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 66, Richmond 101 | Richmond |
| 2018 | Round 8 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 72, Richmond 82 | Richmond |
| 2019 | Round 11 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 99, Richmond 62 | North Melbourne |
| 2020 | Round 7 | People First Stadium | Richmond 77, North Melbourne 23 | Richmond |
| 2021 | Round 21 | MCG | Richmond 89, North Melbourne 56 | Richmond |
| 2022 | Round 18 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 92, Richmond 88 | North Melbourne |
| 2023 | Round 23 | MCG | Richmond 101, North Melbourne 72 | Richmond |
| 2024 | Round 21 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 90, Richmond 77 | North Melbourne |
| 2025 | Round 10 | MCG | Richmond 74, North Melbourne 78 | North Melbourne |
| 2025 | Round 23 | Bellerive Oval | North Melbourne 135, Richmond 87 | North Melbourne |
| 2026 | Round 6 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 130, Richmond 55 | North Melbourne |
| 2026 | Round 15 | MCG | Richmond 48, North Melbourne 73 | North Melbourne |