afl-tips.com

Richmond vs West Coast Tips

Round 4 2027, Sat 10 Apr, 4:35pm AEST at Norwood Oval: we tip West Coast by 1 with a 52% win chance.

Our tip
West Coastby 1 points
Win chance
52%Richmond 48.5%, West Coast 51.5%
Predicted score
83–85Richmond first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip Richmond

Every model on this game

RICWCE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)West Coast51.5%1.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Richmond63.2%13.0 pts
s10West Coast54.5%3.9 pts
SquiggleWest Coast53.1%3.2 pts
StattractionWest Coast56.2%5.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsWest Coast52.8%2.3 pts
Squiggle aggregateRichmond50.3%0.5 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip West Coast

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Richmond rate −21.8 overall (17th) and West Coast −20.8 (16th), which leaves West Coast 1 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Richmond−13.1−8.7−21.8LWLLL
West Coast−10.8−10.0−20.8LLLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
19no draws
Richmond wins
13
West Coast wins
6
Average margin
31.1points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2019Round 22MCGRichmond 88, West Coast 82Richmond
2020Round 14People First StadiumRichmond 88, West Coast 61Richmond
2021Round 13Optus StadiumWest Coast 85, Richmond 81West Coast
2022Round 7Optus StadiumWest Coast 56, Richmond 165Richmond
2022Round 16MCGRichmond 128, West Coast 93Richmond
2023Round 8MCGRichmond 104, West Coast 58Richmond
2023Round 18Optus StadiumWest Coast 60, Richmond 98Richmond
2024Round 5Optus StadiumWest Coast 109, Richmond 70West Coast
2025Round 9MCGRichmond 81, West Coast 79Richmond
2025Round 19Optus StadiumWest Coast 56, Richmond 105Richmond
2026Round 8Optus StadiumWest Coast 88, Richmond 99Richmond
2026Round 21MCGRichmond 84, West Coast 73Richmond
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Sat 26 Jun1:15pm AEST · MCGRichmond62%RICWCE38%West CoastRichmond by 10Models 4–1

More on this game

All Round 4 tips Richmond fixture West Coast fixture