St Kilda vs Collingwood Tips
Round 1 2027, Sat 20 Mar, 7:40pm AEDT at MCG: we tip Collingwood by 8 with a 60% win chance.
- Our tip
- Collingwoodby 8 points
- Win chance
- 60%St Kilda 40.4%, Collingwood 59.6%
- Predicted score
- 86–94St Kilda first
- Models with us
- 4 of 51 tip St Kilda
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Collingwood | 59.6% | 8.0 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Collingwood | 72.4% | 17.0 pts |
| s10 | Collingwood | 53.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Squiggle | Collingwood | 53.3% | 3.4 pts |
| Stattraction | St Kilda | 50.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Collingwood | 56.4% | 5.2 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Collingwood | 57.9% | 6.3 pts |
Why we tip Collingwood
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
St Kilda rate −2.1 overall (13th) and Collingwood +0.9 (10th), which leaves Collingwood 8 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St Kilda | −0.5 | −1.6 | −2.1 | WLLWL |
| Collingwood | +3.0 | −2.1 | +0.9 | LWDLL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 15no draws
- St Kilda wins
- 4
- Collingwood wins
- 11
- Average margin
- 29.4points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Round 3 | MCG | Collingwood 140, St Kilda 66 | Collingwood |
| 2016 | Round 3 | MCG | St Kilda 119, Collingwood 90 | St Kilda |
| 2017 | Round 4 | Marvel Stadium | Collingwood 55, St Kilda 69 | St Kilda |
| 2018 | Round 9 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 72, Collingwood 100 | Collingwood |
| 2019 | Round 9 | MCG | Collingwood 112, St Kilda 71 | Collingwood |
| 2020 | Round 3 | MCG | Collingwood 81, St Kilda 37 | Collingwood |
| 2021 | Round 16 | MCG | Collingwood 61, St Kilda 70 | St Kilda |
| 2022 | Round 1 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 85, Collingwood 102 | Collingwood |
| 2023 | Round 5 | Adelaide Oval | Collingwood 70, St Kilda 64 | Collingwood |
| 2024 | Round 2 | MCG | St Kilda 94, Collingwood 79 | St Kilda |
| 2025 | Round 15 | Marvel Stadium | Collingwood 108, St Kilda 74 | Collingwood |
| 2026 | Opening Round | MCG | St Kilda 66, Collingwood 78 | Collingwood |