afl-tips.com

St Kilda vs Greater Western Sydney Tips

Round 10 2027, Sun 23 May, 12:30pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip St Kilda by 8 with a 60% win chance.

Our tip
St Kildaby 8 points
Win chance
60%St Kilda 59.7%, GWS 40.3%
Predicted score
94–86St Kilda first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip GWS

Every model on this game

STKGWS

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)St Kilda59.7%8.1 pts
Elo Predicts!GWS62.2%17.0 pts
s10St Kilda57.6%6.6 pts
SquiggleSt Kilda59.6%9.3 pts
StattractionSt Kilda59.3%8.3 pts
Wheelo RatingsSt Kilda56.0%4.9 pts
Squiggle aggregateSt Kilda53.1%1.4 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip St Kilda

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

St Kilda rate −2.1 overall (13th) and GWS −0.2 (11th), which leaves St Kilda 8 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
St Kilda−0.5−1.6−2.1WLLWL
GWS+3.1−3.3−0.2LWLWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
201 drawn
St Kilda wins
10
GWS wins
9
Average margin
27.8points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 19Sydney ShowgroundGWS 86, St Kilda 61GWS
2019Round 7Manuka OvalGWS 114, St Kilda 70GWS
2020Round 18GabbaSt Kilda 82, GWS 30St Kilda
2021Round 1Sydney ShowgroundGWS 78, St Kilda 86St Kilda
2022Round 6Manuka OvalGWS 60, St Kilda 77St Kilda
2023Round 10Sydney ShowgroundGWS 80, St Kilda 92St Kilda
2023Finals Week 1MCGSt Kilda 77, GWS 101GWS
2024Round 5Manuka OvalGWS 80, St Kilda 79GWS
2025Round 5Norwood OvalSt Kilda 82, GWS 110GWS
2025Round 24Sydney ShowgroundGWS 104, St Kilda 93GWS
2026Round 2Sydney ShowgroundGWS 74, St Kilda 78St Kilda
2026Round 14Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 96, GWS 88St Kilda
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 10 tips St Kilda fixture Greater Western Sydney fixture