afl-tips.com

St Kilda vs Port Adelaide Tips

Round 5 2027, Sun 18 Apr, 3:15pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip St Kilda by 20 with a 72% win chance.

Our tip
St Kildaby 20 points
Win chance
72%St Kilda 72.4%, Port Adelaide 27.6%
Predicted score
96–77St Kilda first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

STKPTA

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)St Kilda72.4%19.6 pts
Elo Predicts!St Kilda54.7%1.0 pts
s10St Kilda67.5%15.4 pts
SquiggleSt Kilda68.7%17.9 pts
StattractionSt Kilda68.2%16.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsSt Kilda66.8%14.2 pts
Squiggle aggregateSt Kilda64.6%12.4 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip St Kilda

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

St Kilda rate −2.1 overall (13th) and Port Adelaide −11.2 (15th), which leaves St Kilda 20 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
St Kilda−0.5−1.6−2.1WLLWL
Port Adelaide−6.2−5.0−11.2LLLLW
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
18no draws
St Kilda wins
4
Port Adelaide wins
14
Average margin
24.7points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 16Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 86, St Kilda 50Port Adelaide
2019Round 11Jiangwan StadiumSt Kilda 69, Port Adelaide 139Port Adelaide
2020Round 8Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 44, St Kilda 73St Kilda
2021Round 6Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 93, St Kilda 39Port Adelaide
2021Round 18Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 61, Port Adelaide 74Port Adelaide
2022Round 7Cazaly's StadiumSt Kilda 42, Port Adelaide 43Port Adelaide
2023Round 7Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 76, Port Adelaide 83Port Adelaide
2024Round 7Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 82, St Kilda 72Port Adelaide
2024Round 16Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 60, Port Adelaide 62Port Adelaide
2025Round 4Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 72, St Kilda 89St Kilda
2026Round 5Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 67, St Kilda 81St Kilda
2026Round 18Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 87, Port Adelaide 73St Kilda
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 5 tips St Kilda fixture Port Adelaide fixture