afl-tips.com

St Kilda vs West Coast Tips

Round 22 2027, Mon 9 Aug, 12:00pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip St Kilda by 28 with a 81% win chance.

Our tip
St Kildaby 28 points
Win chance
81%St Kilda 80.6%, West Coast 19.4%
Predicted score
101–72St Kilda first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

STKWCE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)St Kilda80.6%28.4 pts
Elo Predicts!St Kilda89.3%31.0 pts
s10St Kilda76.3%24.3 pts
SquiggleSt Kilda81.0%32.0 pts
StattractionSt Kilda76.4%25.4 pts
Wheelo RatingsSt Kilda76.1%23.2 pts
Squiggle aggregateSt Kilda80.7%27.9 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip St Kilda

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

St Kilda rate −2.1 overall (13th) and West Coast −20.8 (16th), which leaves St Kilda 28 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
St Kilda−0.5−1.6−2.1WLLWL
West Coast−10.8−10.0−20.8LLLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
20no draws
St Kilda wins
7
West Coast wins
13
Average margin
34.8points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 20Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 103, West Coast 95St Kilda
2018Round 11Optus StadiumWest Coast 101, St Kilda 88West Coast
2019Round 8Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 70, West Coast 88West Coast
2020Round 17GabbaSt Kilda 50, West Coast 65West Coast
2021Round 4Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 102, West Coast 82St Kilda
2021Round 19Optus StadiumWest Coast 94, St Kilda 86West Coast
2022Round 19Optus StadiumWest Coast 62, St Kilda 90St Kilda
2023Round 16Optus StadiumWest Coast 77, St Kilda 85St Kilda
2024Round 12Optus StadiumWest Coast 68, St Kilda 82St Kilda
2024Round 19Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 113, West Coast 41St Kilda
2025Round 10Optus StadiumWest Coast 108, St Kilda 80West Coast
2026Round 7Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 143, West Coast 42St Kilda
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 22 tips St Kilda fixture West Coast fixture