afl-tips.com

Sydney vs Adelaide Tips

Round 6 2027, Fri 23 Apr, 7:40pm AEST at SCG: we tip Sydney by 18 with a 71% win chance.

Our tip
Sydneyby 18 points
Win chance
71%Sydney 71.0%, Adelaide 29.0%
Predicted score
104–86Sydney first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip Adelaide

Every model on this game

SYDADE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Sydney71.0%18.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Adelaide57.4%9.0 pts
s10Sydney69.0%16.8 pts
SquiggleSydney72.4%21.6 pts
StattractionSydney67.7%16.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsSydney70.3%17.4 pts
Squiggle aggregateSydney63.2%11.6 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Sydney

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Sydney rate +14.5 overall (2nd) and Adelaide +6.8 (6th), which leaves Sydney 18 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Sydney+13.0+1.5+14.5WWWWL
Adelaide+6.2+0.5+6.8WLWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
18no draws
Sydney wins
12
Adelaide wins
6
Average margin
31.1points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2016Semi-FinalsSCGSydney 118, Adelaide 82Sydney
2017Round 22Adelaide OvalAdelaide 80, Sydney 83Sydney
2018Round 5SCGSydney 75, Adelaide 85Adelaide
2019Round 2SCGSydney 62, Adelaide 88Adelaide
2020Round 1Adelaide OvalAdelaide 71, Sydney 74Sydney
2021Round 2SCGSydney 121, Adelaide 88Sydney
2022Round 19SCGSydney 118, Adelaide 85Sydney
2023Round 23Adelaide OvalAdelaide 73, Sydney 74Sydney
2024Round 14Adelaide OvalAdelaide 67, Sydney 109Sydney
2024Round 24SCGSydney 121, Adelaide 90Sydney
2025Round 12SCGSydney 41, Adelaide 131Adelaide
2026Round 19SCGSydney 71, Adelaide 87Adelaide
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 6 tips Sydney fixture Adelaide fixture