afl-tips.com

Sydney vs Carlton Tips

Round 22 2027, Mon 9 Aug, 12:00pm AEST at SCG: we tip Sydney by 20 with a 72% win chance.

Our tip
Sydneyby 20 points
Win chance
72%Sydney 72.4%, Carlton 27.6%
Predicted score
102–82Sydney first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

SYDCAR

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Sydney72.4%19.6 pts
Elo Predicts!Sydney64.1%7.0 pts
s10Sydney70.9%18.6 pts
SquiggleSydney69.8%18.9 pts
StattractionSydney68.6%16.9 pts
Wheelo RatingsSydney73.3%20.3 pts
Squiggle aggregateSydney68.9%15.8 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Sydney

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Sydney rate +14.5 overall (2nd) and Carlton +5.4 (7th), which leaves Sydney 20 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Sydney+13.0+1.5+14.5WWWWL
Carlton+2.2+3.1+5.4WDWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
20no draws
Sydney wins
15
Carlton wins
5
Average margin
31.3points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 23SCGSydney 138, Carlton 57Sydney
2018Round 11SCGSydney 91, Carlton 61Sydney
2019Round 3Marvel StadiumCarlton 74, Sydney 93Sydney
2019Round 17SCGSydney 62, Carlton 69Carlton
2020Round 16People First StadiumCarlton 57, Sydney 52Carlton
2021Round 11SCGSydney 100, Carlton 78Sydney
2022Round 10Marvel StadiumCarlton 102, Sydney 87Carlton
2023Round 11SCGSydney 77, Carlton 51Sydney
2023Finals Week 1MCGCarlton 74, Sydney 68Carlton
2024Round 10SCGSydney 117, Carlton 65Sydney
2025Round 10SCGSydney 78, Carlton 62Sydney
2026Opening RoundSCGSydney 132, Carlton 69Sydney
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 22 tips Sydney fixture Carlton fixture