West Coast vs Adelaide Tips
Round 16 2027, Fri 2 Jul, 8:10pm AEST at Optus Stadium: we tip Adelaide by 17 with a 70% win chance.
- Our tip
- Adelaideby 17 points
- Win chance
- 70%West Coast 30.5%, Adelaide 69.5%
- Predicted score
- 81–97West Coast first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Adelaide | 69.5% | 16.8 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Adelaide | 90.2% | 64.0 pts |
| s10 | Adelaide | 71.2% | 19.2 pts |
| Squiggle | Adelaide | 65.5% | 14.8 pts |
| Stattraction | Adelaide | 74.9% | 23.5 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Adelaide | 67.5% | 14.8 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Adelaide | 74.5% | 29.3 pts |
Why we tip Adelaide
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
West Coast rate −20.8 overall (16th) and Adelaide +6.8 (6th), which leaves Adelaide 17 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Coast | −10.8 | −10.0 | −20.8 | LLLLL |
| Adelaide | +6.2 | +0.5 | +6.8 | WLWWL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 23no draws
- West Coast wins
- 10
- Adelaide wins
- 13
- Average margin
- 40.1points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Round 21 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 90, Adelaide 80 | West Coast |
| 2020 | Round 6 | Gabba | West Coast 67, Adelaide 34 | West Coast |
| 2021 | Round 9 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 106, Adelaide 76 | West Coast |
| 2021 | Round 18 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 56, West Coast 98 | West Coast |
| 2022 | Round 12 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 88, West Coast 57 | Adelaide |
| 2022 | Round 21 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 86, Adelaide 102 | Adelaide |
| 2023 | Round 13 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 174, West Coast 52 | Adelaide |
| 2023 | Round 24 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 78, Adelaide 123 | Adelaide |
| 2024 | Round 11 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 137, West Coast 38 | Adelaide |
| 2025 | Round 11 | Adelaide Oval | Adelaide 128, West Coast 62 | Adelaide |
| 2025 | Round 22 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 78, Adelaide 87 | Adelaide |
| 2026 | Round 17 | Optus Stadium | West Coast 74, Adelaide 99 | Adelaide |