afl-tips.com

West Coast vs Essendon Tips

Round 17 2027, Mon 5 Jul, 2:00pm AEST at Optus Stadium: we tip West Coast by 13 with a 65% win chance.

Our tip
West Coastby 13 points
Win chance
65%West Coast 64.8%, Essendon 35.2%
Predicted score
93–80West Coast first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip Essendon

Every model on this game

WCEESS

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)West Coast64.8%12.6 pts
Elo Predicts!Essendon60.4%14.0 pts
s10West Coast63.6%11.8 pts
SquiggleWest Coast69.4%18.6 pts
StattractionWest Coast61.4%10.2 pts
Wheelo RatingsWest Coast65.9%13.4 pts
Squiggle aggregateWest Coast59.1%7.0 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip West Coast

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

West Coast rate −20.8 overall (16th) and Essendon −22.3 (18th), which leaves West Coast 13 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
West Coast−10.8−10.0−20.8LLLLL
Essendon−10.7−11.7−22.3LLLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
19no draws
West Coast wins
8
Essendon wins
11
Average margin
31.1points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 14Optus StadiumWest Coast 52, Essendon 80Essendon
2019Round 14Optus StadiumWest Coast 106, Essendon 71West Coast
2019Finals Week 1Optus StadiumWest Coast 116, Essendon 61West Coast
2020Round 15GabbaWest Coast 60, Essendon 45West Coast
2021Round 11Optus StadiumWest Coast 71, Essendon 87Essendon
2022Round 15Optus StadiumWest Coast 107, Essendon 97West Coast
2023Round 11Optus StadiumWest Coast 46, Essendon 96Essendon
2023Round 21Marvel StadiumEssendon 73, West Coast 72Essendon
2024Round 8Optus StadiumWest Coast 71, Essendon 77Essendon
2024Round 15Marvel StadiumEssendon 122, West Coast 92Essendon
2025Round 6Optus StadiumWest Coast 75, Essendon 77Essendon
2026Round 12Optus StadiumWest Coast 85, Essendon 55West Coast
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 23 Aug12:00pm AEST · Marvel StadiumEssendon58%ESSWCE43%West CoastEssendon by 6Models 3–2

More on this game

All Round 17 tips West Coast fixture Essendon fixture