afl-tips.com

West Coast vs Hawthorn Tips

Round 23 2027, Mon 16 Aug, 2:00pm AEST at Optus Stadium: we tip Hawthorn by 22 with a 75% win chance.

Our tip
Hawthornby 22 points
Win chance
75%West Coast 25.4%, Hawthorn 74.6%
Predicted score
77–98West Coast first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

WCEHAW

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Hawthorn74.6%21.9 pts
Elo Predicts!Hawthorn93.9%63.0 pts
s10Hawthorn76.7%25.4 pts
SquiggleHawthorn85.2%38.2 pts
StattractionHawthorn80.6%31.0 pts
Wheelo RatingsHawthorn72.7%19.8 pts
Squiggle aggregateHawthorn83.1%38.0 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Hawthorn

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

West Coast rate −20.8 overall (16th) and Hawthorn +11.6 (5th), which leaves Hawthorn 22 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
West Coast−10.8−10.0−20.8LLLLL
Hawthorn+7.1+4.4+11.6LDWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
21no draws
West Coast wins
7
Hawthorn wins
14
Average margin
38.1points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2016Round 22SubiacoWest Coast 92, Hawthorn 67West Coast
2017Round 5MCGHawthorn 125, West Coast 75Hawthorn
2018Round 10Marvel StadiumHawthorn 60, West Coast 75West Coast
2019Round 15MCGHawthorn 71, West Coast 77West Coast
2019Round 23Optus StadiumWest Coast 67, Hawthorn 105Hawthorn
2020Round 12Optus StadiumWest Coast 81, Hawthorn 49West Coast
2021Round 8MCGHawthorn 60, West Coast 98West Coast
2022Round 18MCGHawthorn 102, West Coast 77Hawthorn
2023Round 10York ParkHawthorn 142, West Coast 26Hawthorn
2024Round 16Optus StadiumWest Coast 33, Hawthorn 94Hawthorn
2025Round 7Marvel StadiumHawthorn 124, West Coast 74Hawthorn
2026Round 24Optus StadiumWest Coast 45, Hawthorn 107Hawthorn
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 23 tips West Coast fixture Hawthorn fixture