afl-tips.com

Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Tips

Round 14 2027, Fri 18 Jun, 7:40pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip Geelong by 7 with a 59% win chance.

Our tip
Geelongby 7 points
Win chance
59%Western Bulldogs 41.5%, Geelong 58.5%
Predicted score
89–96Western Bulldogs first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

WBDGEE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Geelong58.5%7.1 pts
Elo Predicts!Geelong53.8%1.0 pts
s10Geelong65.9%14.3 pts
SquiggleGeelong57.7%7.0 pts
StattractionGeelong71.1%19.7 pts
Wheelo RatingsGeelong60.7%8.9 pts
Squiggle aggregateGeelong60.8%9.2 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Geelong

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Western Bulldogs rate +1.8 overall (9th) and Geelong +14.1 (3rd), which leaves Geelong 7 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Western Bulldogs+0.1+1.7+1.8LDWWL
Geelong+13.4+0.6+14.1WWWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
21no draws
Western Bulldogs wins
4
Geelong wins
17
Average margin
24.1points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2019Round 9GMHBA StadiumGeelong 133, Western Bulldogs 89Geelong
2019Round 16Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 71, Geelong 55Western Bulldogs
2020Round 14People First StadiumWestern Bulldogs 61, Geelong 72Geelong
2021Round 14GMHBA StadiumGeelong 83, Western Bulldogs 78Geelong
2022Round 12Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 70, Geelong 83Geelong
2022Round 20GMHBA StadiumGeelong 94, Western Bulldogs 66Geelong
2023Round 12Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 75, Geelong 97Geelong
2023Round 24GMHBA StadiumGeelong 79, Western Bulldogs 104Western Bulldogs
2024Round 4Adelaide OvalWestern Bulldogs 91, Geelong 95Geelong
2024Round 19GMHBA StadiumGeelong 48, Western Bulldogs 95Western Bulldogs
2025Round 11GMHBA StadiumGeelong 127, Western Bulldogs 113Geelong
2026Round 6GMHBA StadiumGeelong 131, Western Bulldogs 56Geelong
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 14 tips Western Bulldogs fixture Geelong fixture