afl-tips.com

Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Tips

Round 12 2027, Thu 3 Jun, 7:30pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip Western Bulldogs by 1 with a 52% win chance.

Our tip
Western Bulldogsby 1 points
Win chance
52%Western Bulldogs 51.5%, Melbourne 48.5%
Predicted score
91–90Western Bulldogs first
Models with us
2 of 53 tip Melbourne

Every model on this game

WBDMEL

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Western Bulldogs51.5%1.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Western Bulldogs78.5%29.0 pts
s10Melbourne56.0%5.2 pts
SquiggleWestern Bulldogs58.9%8.6 pts
StattractionMelbourne58.4%7.4 pts
Wheelo RatingsMelbourne53.6%3.0 pts
Squiggle aggregateWestern Bulldogs56.4%6.8 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Western Bulldogs

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Western Bulldogs rate +1.8 overall (9th) and Melbourne +5.0 (8th), which leaves Western Bulldogs 1 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Western Bulldogs+0.1+1.7+1.8LDWWL
Melbourne+7.3−2.3+5.0WWWLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
24no draws
Western Bulldogs wins
14
Melbourne wins
10
Average margin
31.7points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2020Round 13People First StadiumWestern Bulldogs 80, Melbourne 52Western Bulldogs
2021Round 11Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 59, Melbourne 87Melbourne
2021Round 19MCGMelbourne 65, Western Bulldogs 85Western Bulldogs
2021Grand FinalOptus StadiumMelbourne 140, Western Bulldogs 66Melbourne
2022Round 1MCGMelbourne 97, Western Bulldogs 71Melbourne
2022Round 19Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 110, Melbourne 100Western Bulldogs
2023Round 1MCGMelbourne 115, Western Bulldogs 65Melbourne
2024Round 1MCGMelbourne 109, Western Bulldogs 64Melbourne
2024Round 21Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 110, Melbourne 59Western Bulldogs
2025Round 22MCGMelbourne 99, Western Bulldogs 105Western Bulldogs
2026Round 11Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 93, Melbourne 90Western Bulldogs
2026Round 24MCGMelbourne 87, Western Bulldogs 108Western Bulldogs
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 9 Aug12:00pm AEST · MCGMelbourne59%MELWBD41%Western BulldogsMelbourne by 8Models 3–2

More on this game

All Round 12 tips Western Bulldogs fixture Melbourne fixture