afl-tips.com

Western Bulldogs vs Richmond Tips

Round 23 2027, Mon 16 Aug, 12:00pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip Western Bulldogs by 28 with a 80% win chance.

Our tip
Western Bulldogsby 28 points
Win chance
80%Western Bulldogs 80.4%, Richmond 19.6%
Predicted score
98–69Western Bulldogs first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

WBDRIC

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Western Bulldogs80.4%28.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Western Bulldogs93.1%52.0 pts
s10Western Bulldogs78.7%27.2 pts
SquiggleWestern Bulldogs84.2%36.7 pts
StattractionWestern Bulldogs77.7%27.3 pts
Wheelo RatingsWestern Bulldogs79.7%27.1 pts
Squiggle aggregateWestern Bulldogs83.7%35.8 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Western Bulldogs

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Western Bulldogs rate +1.8 overall (9th) and Richmond −21.8 (17th), which leaves Western Bulldogs 28 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Western Bulldogs+0.1+1.7+1.8LDWWL
Richmond−13.1−8.7−21.8LWLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
17no draws
Western Bulldogs wins
10
Richmond wins
7
Average margin
39.5points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2016Round 16Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 85, Richmond 75Western Bulldogs
2017Round 7Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 80, Richmond 75Western Bulldogs
2018Round 23MCGRichmond 98, Western Bulldogs 95Richmond
2019Round 7Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 99, Richmond 52Western Bulldogs
2020Round 9People First StadiumWestern Bulldogs 49, Richmond 90Richmond
2021Round 7MCGRichmond 77, Western Bulldogs 55Richmond
2022Round 4MCGRichmond 99, Western Bulldogs 61Richmond
2023Round 4MCGRichmond 84, Western Bulldogs 89Western Bulldogs
2023Round 21Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 126, Richmond 71Western Bulldogs
2024Round 9MCGRichmond 42, Western Bulldogs 133Western Bulldogs
2025Round 15Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 135, Richmond 56Western Bulldogs
2026Round 20Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 105, Richmond 48Western Bulldogs
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 23 tips Western Bulldogs fixture Richmond fixture