Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Tips
Round 2 2027, Sun 28 Mar, 7:20pm AEDT at Marvel Stadium: we tip Western Bulldogs by 4 with a 55% win chance.
- Our tip
- Western Bulldogsby 4 points
- Win chance
- 55%Western Bulldogs 54.7%, St Kilda 45.3%
- Predicted score
- 88–84Western Bulldogs first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Western Bulldogs | 54.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Western Bulldogs | 76.4% | 18.0 pts |
| s10 | Western Bulldogs | 53.2% | 2.7 pts |
| Squiggle | Western Bulldogs | 55.5% | 5.5 pts |
| Stattraction | Western Bulldogs | 50.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Western Bulldogs | 56.0% | 4.9 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Western Bulldogs | 59.6% | 7.2 pts |
Why we tip Western Bulldogs
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
Western Bulldogs rate +1.8 overall (9th) and St Kilda −2.1 (13th), which leaves Western Bulldogs 4 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Bulldogs | +0.1 | +1.7 | +1.8 | LDWWL |
| St Kilda | −0.5 | −1.6 | −2.1 | WLLWL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 20no draws
- Western Bulldogs wins
- 12
- St Kilda wins
- 8
- Average margin
- 40.8points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Round 10 | Marvel Stadium | Western Bulldogs 90, St Kilda 50 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2018 | Round 20 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 68, Western Bulldogs 103 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2019 | Round 18 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 116, Western Bulldogs 89 | St Kilda |
| 2020 | Round 2 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 88, Western Bulldogs 49 | St Kilda |
| 2020 | Finals Week 1 | Gabba | St Kilda 67, Western Bulldogs 64 | St Kilda |
| 2021 | Round 10 | Marvel Stadium | Western Bulldogs 144, St Kilda 33 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2022 | Round 18 | Marvel Stadium | Western Bulldogs 84, St Kilda 56 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2023 | Round 2 | Marvel Stadium | Western Bulldogs 41, St Kilda 92 | St Kilda |
| 2024 | Round 6 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 64, Western Bulldogs 124 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2025 | Round 6 | Marvel Stadium | Western Bulldogs 127, St Kilda 56 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2025 | Round 14 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 60, Western Bulldogs 132 | Western Bulldogs |
| 2026 | Round 15 | Marvel Stadium | St Kilda 61, Western Bulldogs 83 | Western Bulldogs |