afl-tips.com

Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Tips

Round 11 2027, Thu 27 May, 7:30pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip Sydney by 2 with a 53% win chance.

Our tip
Sydneyby 2 points
Win chance
53%Western Bulldogs 47.3%, Sydney 52.7%
Predicted score
90–93Western Bulldogs first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip Western Bulldogs

Every model on this game

WBDSYD

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Sydney52.7%2.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Western Bulldogs76.3%16.0 pts
s10Sydney60.3%8.8 pts
SquiggleSydney53.3%3.0 pts
StattractionSydney61.2%9.8 pts
Wheelo RatingsSydney59.4%7.8 pts
Squiggle aggregateWestern Bulldogs50.6%1.1 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Sydney

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Western Bulldogs rate +1.8 overall (9th) and Sydney +14.5 (2nd), which leaves Sydney 2 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Western Bulldogs+0.1+1.7+1.8LDWWL
Sydney+13.0+1.5+14.5WWWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
21no draws
Western Bulldogs wins
9
Sydney wins
12
Average margin
32.0points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 4Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 79, Sydney 86Sydney
2019Round 1Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 82, Sydney 65Western Bulldogs
2020Round 4SCGSydney 39, Western Bulldogs 67Western Bulldogs
2021Round 17Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 60, Sydney 79Sydney
2022Round 3Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 71, Sydney 60Western Bulldogs
2022Round 17SCGSydney 120, Western Bulldogs 67Sydney
2023Round 18SCGSydney 78, Western Bulldogs 76Sydney
2024Round 11Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 88, Sydney 102Sydney
2024Round 20SCGSydney 48, Western Bulldogs 87Western Bulldogs
2025Round 16SCGSydney 96, Western Bulldogs 105Western Bulldogs
2026Round 7Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 60, Sydney 126Sydney
2026Round 17SCGSydney 90, Western Bulldogs 55Sydney
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

More on this game

All Round 11 tips Western Bulldogs fixture Sydney fixture