afl-tips.com

Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs Tips

At Adelaide Oval on Sat 3 Apr, 4: 35pm AEDT in Round 3 2027, Adelaide gets our tip by 16, with a 68% win chance in our forecast.

Match pick
Adelaideby 16 points
Win chance
68%: Western Bulldogs 31.6%, Adelaide 68.4%.
Score we predict
96–81Adelaide first
Models backing us
5 of 5every public model agrees

All models for this game

ADEWBD

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Adelaide68.4%15.8 pts
Elo Predicts!Adelaide54.5%1.0 pts
s10Adelaide62.6%10.7 pts
SquiggleAdelaide52.2%2.3 pts
StattractionAdelaide62.4%10.8 pts
Wheelo RatingsAdelaide62.7%10.6 pts
Squiggle aggregateAdelaide58.0%6.2 pts
Each source's win chance belongs to the club that source tips. Public model tips come from the Squiggle API; Squiggle's aggregate averages every model. Grading happens after the siren.

Why our tip is Adelaide

Our ratings judge each club's attack and defence by points against an average side, then add home ground and travel for this game.

Overall, Adelaide sit at +6.8 (6th) and Western Bulldogs at +1.8 (9th), which puts Adelaide 16 points ahead for this match.

Across 2,476 games played from 2015 to 2026, the model got 68.3% of tips right, and it missed the margin by 27.0 points on average. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Adelaide+6.2+0.5+6.8WLWWL
Western Bulldogs+0.1+1.7+1.8LDWWL
Points per game against an average side, at the start of 2027. Form covers the last five games of 2026, with the latest one on the right.

Head to head history since 2012

Meetings
19no draws
Wins by Adelaide
11
Wins by Western Bulldogs
8
Margin on average
31.2points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2017Round 16Adelaide OvalAdelaide 104, Western Bulldogs 45Adelaide
2018Round 9Adelaide OvalAdelaide 63, Western Bulldogs 26Adelaide
2019Round 23Eureka StadiumWestern Bulldogs 121, Adelaide 87Western Bulldogs
2020Round 12People First StadiumWestern Bulldogs 111, Adelaide 54Western Bulldogs
2021Round 20Eureka StadiumWestern Bulldogs 105, Adelaide 56Western Bulldogs
2022Round 6Eureka StadiumWestern Bulldogs 62, Adelaide 63Adelaide
2023Round 10Eureka StadiumWestern Bulldogs 85, Adelaide 40Western Bulldogs
2024Round 22Adelaide OvalAdelaide 111, Western Bulldogs 72Adelaide
2025Round 18Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 98, Adelaide 109Adelaide
2026Round 2Adelaide OvalAdelaide 88, Western Bulldogs 94Western Bulldogs
2026Round 14Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs 64, Adelaide 121Adelaide
2026Finals Week 1Adelaide OvalAdelaide 90, Western Bulldogs 68Adelaide
The most recent meetings come first. These results come from the Squiggle API.

The two clubs meet again in 2027

Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST · Marvel StadiumWestern Bulldogs57%WBDADE43%AdelaideWestern Bulldogs by 6Models 4–1

More about this game

All Round 3 tips Adelaide fixture Western Bulldogs fixture