afl-tips.com

Gold Coast vs Greater Western Sydney Tips

Round 4 2027, Sat 10 Apr, 12:35pm AEST at Barossa Park: we tip Greater Western Sydney by 2 with a 52% win chance.

Our tip
GWSby 2 points
Win chance
52%Gold Coast 47.7%, GWS 52.3%
Predicted score
90–92Gold Coast first
Models with us
2 of 53 tip Gold Coast

Every model on this game

GCSGWS

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)GWS52.3%1.9 pts
Elo Predicts!GWS53.4%9.0 pts
s10Gold Coast50.2%0.2 pts
SquiggleGold Coast51.2%1.2 pts
StattractionGWS50.9%0.6 pts
Wheelo RatingsGold Coast51.3%1.1 pts
Squiggle aggregateGWS50.5%1.8 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip GWS

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Gold Coast rate −1.8 overall (12th) and GWS −0.2 (11th), which leaves GWS 2 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Gold Coast+0.5−2.4−1.8LLWLW
GWS+3.1−3.3−0.2LWLWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
23no draws
Gold Coast wins
7
GWS wins
16
Average margin
43.2points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2019Round 11Sydney ShowgroundGWS 126, Gold Coast 43GWS
2019Round 23People First StadiumGold Coast 55, GWS 127GWS
2020Round 9People First StadiumGold Coast 35, GWS 61GWS
2021Round 17Eureka StadiumGWS 64, Gold Coast 65Gold Coast
2022Round 3Sydney ShowgroundGWS 83, Gold Coast 57GWS
2023Round 19Manuka OvalGWS 103, Gold Coast 63GWS
2024Round 4Adelaide HillsGold Coast 89, GWS 117GWS
2024Round 19Sydney ShowgroundGWS 89, Gold Coast 50GWS
2025Round 15Sydney ShowgroundGWS 106, Gold Coast 99GWS
2025Round 23People First StadiumGold Coast 76, GWS 111GWS
2026Round 8People First StadiumGold Coast 83, GWS 63Gold Coast
2026Round 22Manuka OvalGWS 77, Gold Coast 79Gold Coast
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Sun 20 Jun5:10pm AEST · Sydney ShowgroundGWS63%GWSGCS37%Gold CoastGWS by 11Models 5–0

More on this game

All Round 4 tips Gold Coast fixture Greater Western Sydney fixture