Gold Coast vs North Melbourne Tips
Round 3 2027, Sun 4 Apr, 3:15pm AEST at People First Stadium: we tip Gold Coast by 15 with a 68% win chance.
- Our tip
- Gold Coastby 15 points
- Win chance
- 68%Gold Coast 68.0%, North Melbourne 32.0%
- Predicted score
- 98–83Gold Coast first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Gold Coast | 68.0% | 15.4 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Gold Coast | 87.4% | 30.0 pts |
| s10 | Gold Coast | 71.8% | 19.7 pts |
| Squiggle | Gold Coast | 65.5% | 14.8 pts |
| Stattraction | Gold Coast | 70.1% | 18.9 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Gold Coast | 73.4% | 20.4 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Gold Coast | 74.1% | 21.0 pts |
Why we tip Gold Coast
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
Gold Coast rate −1.8 overall (12th) and North Melbourne −7.3 (14th), which leaves Gold Coast 15 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold Coast | +0.5 | −2.4 | −1.8 | LLWLW |
| North Melbourne | −1.1 | −6.2 | −7.3 | LLWLL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 22no draws
- Gold Coast wins
- 12
- North Melbourne wins
- 10
- Average margin
- 35.1points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Round 12 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 72, North Melbourne 99 | North Melbourne |
| 2020 | Round 14 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 91, North Melbourne 28 | Gold Coast |
| 2021 | Round 2 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 98, North Melbourne 39 | Gold Coast |
| 2021 | Round 15 | Bellerive Oval | North Melbourne 72, Gold Coast 63 | North Melbourne |
| 2022 | Round 12 | Marrara Oval | Gold Coast 109, North Melbourne 47 | Gold Coast |
| 2022 | Round 23 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 47, Gold Coast 114 | Gold Coast |
| 2023 | Round 6 | People First Stadium | Gold Coast 97, North Melbourne 54 | Gold Coast |
| 2023 | Round 24 | Bellerive Oval | North Melbourne 132, Gold Coast 97 | North Melbourne |
| 2024 | Round 9 | Marrara Oval | Gold Coast 120, North Melbourne 52 | Gold Coast |
| 2024 | Round 17 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 87, Gold Coast 83 | North Melbourne |
| 2025 | Round 5 | Barossa Park | North Melbourne 89, Gold Coast 141 | Gold Coast |
| 2026 | Round 11 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 111, Gold Coast 105 | North Melbourne |