afl-tips.com

Melbourne vs West Coast Tips

For Round 8 2027, we favor Melbourne by 36 points and give them an 86% chance to win. The match starts at MCG on Sun 9 May, 3: 15pm AEST.

The tip we chose
Melbourneby 36 points
Win chance
West Coast 13.6%, Melbourne 86.4%, 86%
Score we predict
109–73Melbourne first
Models backing our tip
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model covering this game

MELWCE

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Melbourne86.4%36.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Melbourne85.7%28.0 pts
s10Melbourne84.0%34.2 pts
SquiggleMelbourne80.6%31.4 pts
StattractionMelbourne82.2%33.3 pts
Wheelo RatingsMelbourne85.9%35.1 pts
Squiggle aggregateMelbourne83.6%32.0 pts
Each win chance applies to the club picked by that source. Public model tips appear in the Squiggle API. Squiggle's aggregate gives the average for all models. Results are graded after the siren.

The reason we tip Melbourne

We rate every club's attack and defence using points against an average side. The rating for this match also includes home ground and travel.

With Melbourne at +5.0 overall (8th) and West Coast at −20.8 (16th), our day rating makes Melbourne 36 points better.

This model tipped 68.3% of 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026 correctly, and its average margin error came to 27.0 points. How it works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Melbourne+7.3−2.3+5.0WWWLL
West Coast−10.8−10.0−20.8LLLLL
Points per game against an average side at the start of 2027. Form covers the last five games of 2026, with the latest game on the right.

Head-to-head record from 2012

Meetings
20no draws
Wins: Melbourne
9
Wins: West Coast
11
Mean margin
47.2points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Preliminary FinalsOptus StadiumWest Coast 121, Melbourne 55West Coast
2019Round 9Optus StadiumWest Coast 85, Melbourne 69West Coast
2019Round 18Traeger ParkMelbourne 78, West Coast 91West Coast
2020Round 1Optus StadiumWest Coast 78, Melbourne 51West Coast
2021Round 21Optus StadiumWest Coast 63, Melbourne 72Melbourne
2022Round 9Optus StadiumWest Coast 38, Melbourne 112Melbourne
2023Round 4Optus StadiumWest Coast 63, Melbourne 126Melbourne
2024Round 10Optus StadiumWest Coast 105, Melbourne 70West Coast
2024Round 17MCGMelbourne 112, West Coast 58Melbourne
2025Round 8Optus StadiumWest Coast 76, Melbourne 108Melbourne
2025Round 21Marvel StadiumMelbourne 139, West Coast 56Melbourne
2026Round 9Marvel StadiumMelbourne 99, West Coast 67Melbourne
Most recent meetings appear first. These results come from the Squiggle API.

They play again in 2027

Mon 2 Aug2:00pm AEST · Optus StadiumWest Coast33%WCEMEL67%MelbourneMelbourne by 15Models 0–5

More about this match

All Round 8 tips Melbourne fixture West Coast fixture