afl-tips.com

Port Adelaide vs Carlton Tips

Round 6 2027, Sat 24 Apr, 8:10pm AEST at Adelaide Oval: we tip Carlton by 6 with a 57% win chance.

Our tip
Carltonby 6 points
Win chance
57%Port Adelaide 43.2%, Carlton 56.8%
Predicted score
83–88Port Adelaide first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip Port Adelaide

Every model on this game

PTACAR

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Carlton56.8%5.6 pts
Elo Predicts!Port Adelaide57.5%1.0 pts
s10Carlton60.7%9.3 pts
SquiggleCarlton58.7%8.5 pts
StattractionCarlton63.5%12.1 pts
Wheelo RatingsCarlton58.0%6.6 pts
Squiggle aggregateCarlton55.7%6.5 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Carlton

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Port Adelaide rate −11.2 overall (15th) and Carlton +5.4 (7th), which leaves Carlton 6 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Port Adelaide−6.2−5.0−11.2LLLLW
Carlton+2.2+3.1+5.4WDWWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
20no draws
Port Adelaide wins
11
Carlton wins
9
Average margin
35.5points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 15MCGCarlton 69, Port Adelaide 90Port Adelaide
2019Round 2Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 88, Carlton 72Port Adelaide
2020Round 7GabbaCarlton 61, Port Adelaide 64Port Adelaide
2021Round 5MCGCarlton 68, Port Adelaide 96Port Adelaide
2021Round 22Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 140, Carlton 45Port Adelaide
2022Round 5MCGCarlton 94, Port Adelaide 91Carlton
2023Round 18Marvel StadiumCarlton 122, Port Adelaide 72Carlton
2024Round 12Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 71, Carlton 107Carlton
2024Round 20Marvel StadiumCarlton 65, Port Adelaide 79Port Adelaide
2025Round 16Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 110, Carlton 60Port Adelaide
2025Round 23Marvel StadiumCarlton 118, Port Adelaide 64Carlton
2026Round 11Adelaide OvalPort Adelaide 58, Carlton 92Carlton
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 16 Aug12:00pm AEST · MCGCarlton79%CARPTA21%Port AdelaideCarlton by 26Models 5–0

More on this game

All Round 6 tips Port Adelaide fixture Carlton fixture