afl-tips.com

St Kilda vs Richmond Tips

Round 8 2027, Sat 8 May, 4:15pm AEST at Marvel Stadium: we tip St Kilda by 24 with a 77% win chance.

Our tip
St Kildaby 24 points
Win chance
77%St Kilda 77.1%, Richmond 22.9%
Predicted score
97–73St Kilda first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

STKRIC

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)St Kilda77.1%24.4 pts
Elo Predicts!St Kilda75.7%30.0 pts
s10St Kilda77.1%25.4 pts
SquiggleSt Kilda77.8%27.8 pts
StattractionSt Kilda77.4%26.9 pts
Wheelo RatingsSt Kilda76.8%23.9 pts
Squiggle aggregateSt Kilda76.9%27.1 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip St Kilda

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

St Kilda rate −2.1 overall (13th) and Richmond −21.8 (17th), which leaves St Kilda 24 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
St Kilda−0.5−1.6−2.1WLLWL
Richmond−13.1−8.7−21.8LWLLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
25no draws
St Kilda wins
12
Richmond wins
13
Average margin
36.2points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2020Semi-FinalsPeople First StadiumRichmond 80, St Kilda 49Richmond
2021Round 5Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 48, Richmond 134Richmond
2021Round 15MCGRichmond 22, St Kilda 62St Kilda
2022Round 3Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 117, Richmond 84St Kilda
2023Round 14MCGRichmond 90, St Kilda 70Richmond
2023Round 22Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 93, Richmond 57St Kilda
2024Round 4Norwood OvalRichmond 60, St Kilda 67St Kilda
2024Round 22Marvel StadiumRichmond 51, St Kilda 99St Kilda
2025Round 3Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 135, Richmond 53St Kilda
2025Round 22MCGRichmond 52, St Kilda 56St Kilda
2026Round 10Marvel StadiumSt Kilda 109, Richmond 73St Kilda
2026Round 23MCGRichmond 45, St Kilda 94St Kilda
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 12 Jul12:00pm AEST · MCGRichmond33%RICSTK68%St KildaSt Kilda by 15Models 0–5

More on this game

All Round 8 tips St Kilda fixture Richmond fixture