afl-tips.com

Sydney vs Greater Western Sydney Tips

Round 3 2027, Fri 2 Apr, 7:15pm AEDT at SCG: we tip Sydney by 19 with a 72% win chance.

Our tip
Sydneyby 19 points
Win chance
72%Sydney 72.0%, GWS 28.0%
Predicted score
105–86Sydney first
Models with us
4 of 51 tip GWS

Every model on this game

SYDGWS

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Sydney72.0%19.2 pts
Elo Predicts!GWS59.2%10.0 pts
s10Sydney71.8%19.6 pts
SquiggleSydney68.4%17.6 pts
StattractionSydney71.3%19.9 pts
Wheelo RatingsSydney72.2%19.3 pts
Squiggle aggregateSydney63.2%11.7 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Sydney

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Sydney rate +14.5 overall (2nd) and GWS −0.2 (11th), which leaves Sydney 19 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Sydney+13.0+1.5+14.5WWWWL
GWS+3.1−3.3−0.2LWLWL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
33no draws
Sydney wins
22
GWS wins
11
Average margin
35.7points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2021Finals Week 1York ParkSydney 73, GWS 74GWS
2022Round 1Stadium AustraliaGWS 92, Sydney 112Sydney
2022Round 20SCGSydney 112, GWS 39Sydney
2023Round 7SCGSydney 106, GWS 107GWS
2023Round 21Sydney ShowgroundGWS 85, Sydney 96Sydney
2024Round 8SCGSydney 98, GWS 69Sydney
2024Round 15Sydney ShowgroundGWS 75, Sydney 102Sydney
2024Finals Week 1SCGSydney 88, GWS 82Sydney
2025Round 8SCGSydney 87, GWS 73Sydney
2025Round 20Sydney ShowgroundGWS 102, Sydney 58GWS
2026Round 6SCGSydney 107, GWS 66Sydney
2026Round 20Sydney ShowgroundGWS 88, Sydney 139Sydney
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.

They meet again in 2027

Mon 16 Aug12:00pm AEST · Sydney ShowgroundGWS36%GWSSYD64%SydneySydney by 12Models 1–4

More on this game

All Round 3 tips Sydney fixture Greater Western Sydney fixture