afl-tips.com

Sydney vs North Melbourne Tips

Round 8 2027, Sat 8 May, 7:35pm AEST at SCG: we tip Sydney by 32 with a 84% win chance.

Our tip
Sydneyby 32 points
Win chance
84%Sydney 83.6%, North Melbourne 16.4%
Predicted score
111–79Sydney first
Models with us
5 of 5every public model agrees

Every model on this game

SYDNTH

our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate

SourceTipWin chanceMargin
afl-tips.com (ours)Sydney83.6%32.3 pts
Elo Predicts!Sydney82.9%31.0 pts
s10Sydney84.5%35.4 pts
SquiggleSydney80.2%30.9 pts
StattractionSydney85.8%39.4 pts
Wheelo RatingsSydney83.1%31.3 pts
Squiggle aggregateSydney83.0%33.2 pts
Win chance is for the club each source tips. Public model tips from the Squiggle API; the aggregate is Squiggle's average of all models. Graded after the siren.

Why we tip Sydney

Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.

Sydney rate +14.5 overall (2nd) and North Melbourne −7.3 (14th), which leaves Sydney 32 points better on the day.

Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works

ClubAttackDefenceNet2026 form
Sydney+13.0+1.5+14.5WWWWL
North Melbourne−1.1−6.2−7.3LLWLL
Points per game against an average side, start of 2027. Form is the last five games of 2026, latest on the right.

Head to head since 2012

Meetings
22no draws
Sydney wins
19
North Melbourne wins
3
Average margin
28.8points, either way
SeasonRoundGroundScoreWinner
2018Round 17Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 98, Sydney 104Sydney
2019Round 9Bellerive OvalNorth Melbourne 72, Sydney 77Sydney
2020Round 3Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 60, Sydney 71Sydney
2021Round 22Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 77, Sydney 91Sydney
2022Round 4SCGSydney 86, North Melbourne 75Sydney
2022Round 21Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 88, Sydney 126Sydney
2023Round 10Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 90, Sydney 93Sydney
2024Round 18SCGSydney 138, North Melbourne 59Sydney
2025Round 4Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 52, Sydney 117Sydney
2025Round 19SCGSydney 84, North Melbourne 53Sydney
2026Round 9Marvel StadiumNorth Melbourne 97, Sydney 105Sydney
2026Round 24SCGSydney 123, North Melbourne 70Sydney
Latest meetings first. Results from the Squiggle API.