Sydney vs North Melbourne Tips
Round 8 2027, Sat 8 May, 7:35pm AEST at SCG: we tip Sydney by 32 with a 84% win chance.
- Our tip
- Sydneyby 32 points
- Win chance
- 84%Sydney 83.6%, North Melbourne 16.4%
- Predicted score
- 111–79Sydney first
- Models with us
- 5 of 5every public model agrees
Every model on this game
our win chanceeach public modelSquiggle aggregate
| Source | Tip | Win chance | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| afl-tips.com (ours) | Sydney | 83.6% | 32.3 pts |
| Elo Predicts! | Sydney | 82.9% | 31.0 pts |
| s10 | Sydney | 84.5% | 35.4 pts |
| Squiggle | Sydney | 80.2% | 30.9 pts |
| Stattraction | Sydney | 85.8% | 39.4 pts |
| Wheelo Ratings | Sydney | 83.1% | 31.3 pts |
| Squiggle aggregate | Sydney | 83.0% | 33.2 pts |
Why we tip Sydney
Our ratings score each club on attack and defence in points against an average side, with the home ground and travel added for this game.
Sydney rate +14.5 overall (2nd) and North Melbourne −7.3 (14th), which leaves Sydney 32 points better on the day.
Over 2,476 games from 2015 to 2026, this model tipped 68.3% correctly with an average margin error of 27.0 points. How the model works
| Club | Attack | Defence | Net | 2026 form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney | +13.0 | +1.5 | +14.5 | WWWWL |
| North Melbourne | −1.1 | −6.2 | −7.3 | LLWLL |
Head to head since 2012
- Meetings
- 22no draws
- Sydney wins
- 19
- North Melbourne wins
- 3
- Average margin
- 28.8points, either way
| Season | Round | Ground | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Round 17 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 98, Sydney 104 | Sydney |
| 2019 | Round 9 | Bellerive Oval | North Melbourne 72, Sydney 77 | Sydney |
| 2020 | Round 3 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 60, Sydney 71 | Sydney |
| 2021 | Round 22 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 77, Sydney 91 | Sydney |
| 2022 | Round 4 | SCG | Sydney 86, North Melbourne 75 | Sydney |
| 2022 | Round 21 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 88, Sydney 126 | Sydney |
| 2023 | Round 10 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 90, Sydney 93 | Sydney |
| 2024 | Round 18 | SCG | Sydney 138, North Melbourne 59 | Sydney |
| 2025 | Round 4 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 52, Sydney 117 | Sydney |
| 2025 | Round 19 | SCG | Sydney 84, North Melbourne 53 | Sydney |
| 2026 | Round 9 | Marvel Stadium | North Melbourne 97, Sydney 105 | Sydney |
| 2026 | Round 24 | SCG | Sydney 123, North Melbourne 70 | Sydney |